Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 56.302936 64.286101 72.485903 81.503019 91.107052 100.999496 111.928512
2026-01-04 44.999594 56.473671 68.829388 82.979621 98.602996 115.206247 134.069270
2026-01-11 37.178503 50.375445 65.121263 82.519824 102.217003 123.589041 148.307678
2026-01-18 31.190948 45.491007 62.028190 82.061266 105.227756 130.795621 160.790917
2026-01-25 26.909826 42.056580 60.130420 82.532695 108.904909 138.417895 173.436671
2026-02-01 22.813951 38.374648 57.552612 81.867655 110.983489 143.991487 183.565719
2026-02-08 19.626616 35.497747 55.673555 81.790503 113.541730 149.945038 193.978629
2026-02-15 16.543380 32.417155 53.276223 80.858678 114.901561 154.363045 202.503441
2026-02-22 14.674083 30.817159 52.627941 81.967952 118.611555 161.448308 214.044920
2026-03-01 13.159068 29.562091 52.314425 83.404432 122.646686 168.863625 225.930179
2026-03-08 11.018972 27.114475 50.221561 82.425441 123.605810 172.543446 233.376518
2026-03-15 8.944293 24.494065 47.701139 80.739529 123.567322 174.936310 239.229227
2026-03-22 8.462686 24.496014 48.894984 83.989331 129.777227 184.934880 254.188184
2026-03-29 7.605850 23.743268 48.943173 85.674177 133.992846 192.517206 266.288553
2026-04-05 6.312802 22.012229 47.437913 85.173058 135.358828 196.581706 274.153095
2026-04-12 5.193542 20.418656 46.024234 84.712382 136.713774 200.586941 281.911369
2026-04-19 4.402323 19.345286 45.329620 85.191064 139.243675 206.010119 291.355838
2026-04-26 3.503913 17.848864 43.865232 84.514458 140.212238 209.462959 298.391081
2026-05-03 2.825812 16.693428 42.863835 84.435904 141.924113 213.810104 306.488794
2026-05-10 2.125978 15.267497 41.309717 83.487525 142.430540 216.612906 312.678030
2026-05-17 1.783671 14.718781 41.198408 84.616501 145.692501 222.865975 323.076883
2026-05-24 1.519076 14.324824 41.324809 86.078320 149.392042 229.667317 334.148895
2026-05-31 1.056419 13.070054 39.839940 85.082082 149.731144 232.189728 339.946325